Sunday evening, the first round

French political life unfolds to the rhythm of elections which follow one another but are not alike.

Sunday evening, the first round

French political life unfolds to the rhythm of elections which follow one another but are not alike. From August 2021 to April 2022, the presidential election imposed its rhythm. At the heart of the story: the identity or populist threat, first embodied by Éric Zemmour, then by Marine Le Pen, who qualified for the second round of the presidential election, and obtained 42% of the vote.

But this is now an ancient story. Another began in the run-up to the legislative elections, where the NUPES, the union of left-wing forces gathered under the flag of the radical left, occupies everyone's mind. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, its leader, hopes to obtain a majority. He would then like to force Emmanuel Macron to appoint him Prime Minister, even if the President of the Republic has already said that he would refuse to do so.

It must be said that the election of a Melenchonist majority remains unlikely. Jean-Luc Mélenchon is also leading a very radical campaign. We understand his objective: to make the left bloc the dynamic pole of the coming five-year term. He could well get there, with the complicity of the media, which can no longer hide their bias. At the very least, he dreams of having the means to paralyze the Assembly and push the country into a crisis of regime that would be favorable to his ideas.

The right, in this portrait, does not know what to do. A good part of the right will vote for Emmanuel Macron, both out of legitimism and to block the radical left. Another, the one associated with the Republicans, is looking for a niche, without finding it too much. Marine Le Pen's National Rally believes it can win several seats, but it will remain very isolated. As for Reconquête by Éric Zemmour, it remains to be seen whether he will get a deputy.

We will have more on Sunday evening, and we will know everything on June 19, at the time of the second round.

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