If the government wants to avoid a second reconfinement total, the scientific Council has recommended to prepare a plan of containment "local". Twenty metropolitan areas are concerned.Summary The closure of bars ? Reconfinement in September ? What regions were affected ? Map of the evolution of the Covid-19 Criteria of reconfinement
[updated August 13, 2020 at 15h39] Reconfinement or not reconfinement ? The question on everyone's lips since the end of the first phase of containment, which was introduced at the beginning of march in France. A period that has not been easy for the French, and worried most of them. The government, in the course of various speeches, has stated that a reconfinement general was not the desired option. However, in an opinion published last August 4, the scientific Council has required the preparation of a plan of containment "local", in the "twenty major metropolitan" French. A few days earlier, the Council had specified that it was "highly likely that a second epidemic wave is observed in the fall or next winter".
The city of Toulouse has already conducted an initial meeting on the subject, as indicated in the site actu.fr on Friday, August 7. "ll must at all costs try to avoid the reconfinement. Our fight, it is above all for the prevention, gestures barriers, the establishment of screening centres... We will observe the situation and adapt to day-to-day," explained François Cholet, a city councillor, vice-president of the Metropolis and is in charge of the coordination of actions to address the epidemic of coronavirus. In order to avoid the scenario of a reconfinement, more and more cities have imposed the mandatory wearing of masks in certain areas.reconfinements "localized" and the bars closed ?
The plan of the scientific Council is similar to those made in the United Kingdom and Germany, and "must also integrate the hospitals and structures of primary care such as health homes and medical practices", as stated by the organization. It is stated that "these plans will have to be able to adapt to changing circumstances, and be modified if necessary."
The idea of reconfinements "localized" has already been mentioned by the Prime minister, Jean Castex, mep, in an interview with Nice-Matin published on 25 July. He recalled that the priority of the government remained, before all, "prevention". In a context of resurgence of an epidemic, the government has already strengthened certain measures, in particular through the screening of travelers from certain countries to risks in the airports. In addition, an order issued Saturday, the 25th July by the minister of Health Olivier Véran, agreed to the full refund of all PCR tests that can be carried out without order and without symptoms.
In this sense, and to give all the chances to avoid the worst-case scenario, Olivier Veran has launched an appeal to the young people, whom they accused of laxity. "I understand their need to change air and to blow, but the virus, he does not take a vacation," stressed the minister in Paris on the 25th of July, waving the threat of the closure of the bars in some areas where overflows would occur. "This is part of the possibilities," he confirmed.
For his part, the Prime minister spoke out more clearly the idea of reconfinement, even if he wishes to avoid at any price a reconfinement total. In any case, in its generalized version, which would be "disastrous" for France "at the social and economic level, (...) including to the psychological health of some of our fellow citizens", he conceded in an interview given to Nice-Matin. If the future darkens a little more, the solution could be found in "reconfinements very localized". "We will adapt", promises Jean Castex, mep, which called once again to maintain the respect of the gestures barriers, and this "until the day when a vaccine will be found."The reconfinement for September ?
For the moment, while the summer is in full swing, the reconfinement is only at the stage of hypothesis. The outbreak of coronavirus, including the revival of activity is undeniable, is always in spite of everything considered to be controlled by the French health authorities. But among the scientific and medical community, many fear the fact that the Covid-19 is a seasonal virus. In other words, as the warm temperatures do not inhibit, in any case in part, its virulence. Thus, if we rely on this scenario, a second wave could reach France and Europe in the fall, as soon as the course of the month of September or sometime in October. On the 21st of July, on BFMTV, the chairman of the scientific Council, and Jean-François Delfraissy considered that "the most likely hypothesis remains (...) a return of the virus for the period October-November-December."
If, of course, for the time being, this is not ensured, Emmanuel Macron announced in early July that it had "nothing to exclude". About Jean Castex, a few days later, he was part of the fact that the government had finalised a "plan of reconfinement targeted". According to the Prime minister, the executive is "ready" to face a second wave in the fall. And detail, in a desire to anticipate : "We are not going to make a plan of reconfinement as we did that of the month of march. A reconfinement absolute, like what we experienced last march, would have terrible consequences for the country. We are going to target."Large Is, Britain... what are the concerned regions ?
According to the Prime minister, Jean Castex, if France was to have recourse to the reconfinement, this would not be widespread. So, you may see differences in situations from one region to another or even from one department to another, relating to new prohibitions and restrictive measures on the movement. The health authorities have already identified parts of the territory on which the Covid-19 circulates more actively than elsewhere.
We saw recently, the Mayenne has experienced a critical situation with a sudden increase in the number of infections. The ministry of health has, among other things, used as the criterion the "R0", the reproductive rate of the virus. In other words, the average of the number of people infected by a single patient. Currently, and according to the latest data of the ministry of Health, the Brittany, the Grand Is and the New Aquitaine are regions in which R0 is to be monitored. The three regions are same past in red as they exceed the threshold of 1.5.Map of the evolution of the Covid-19
Here is the map of R0 as a function of the different regions, the data of which are updated each week by the ministry of Health. It should be in spite of everything to make it clear that this is an indicator of the evolution of the epidemic in France among others, which might also come into play if the government were to bring into force the reconfinement located.criteria for the reconfinement ?
As mentioned above, the R0 could be used as a criterion for the reconfinement if the need reconfiner France, in whole or in part, was felt. But there are other indicators, starting with the rate of positive tests, which is also on the rise for several weeks in a row at the national level, according to the last point epidemiological of public Health, France (+ 13% compared to the previous point). There is also the incidence, the number of people infected by the sars coronavirus per 100 000 population, currently estimated at 5.5 Fps and also increase relative to the previous point. Finally, could be to retain the number of seats in resuscitation. Here, the figures and the curves are more reassuring, as the daily number of hospitalized cases in the icu is always in decline since the 8th of April. Find all the numbers and curves discounted in our article dedicated to the evolution of the Covid-19 in France.cities impose the mask in public places
If the reconfinement is not yet a reality for the French regions, some territories are already not to take certain measures at a local level. In several cities, the wearing of the mask has been made mandatory in public places. Since 20 July, all enclosed public places are already subject to this legal obligation. Some of the beach resorts, tourist towns, or in areas severely affected by the coronavirus have chosen to extend the rule to other public places open.Updated Date: 13 August 2020, 09:57