The optimism remains on the placing on the market of the employment framework. Between 270.700 and 292.000 hires are considered by the companies this year, according to the Association for employment of executives (Apec), which publishes its forecasts of recruitment on Wednesday. "The employment framework continues to grow for the sixth consecutive year and is expected to reach the record of the 300.000 recruitment of executives to the horizon 2021," said Bertrand Hebert, the director general of the association - which conducted its survey of 10,000 companies at the end of 2018.
This dynamic will strengthen a little more the situation of almost full employment faced by this category of workers, with an unemployment rate estimated at 3.8 % while the overall rate stood at 8.8% in France. And, even if "long-term unemployment of frames [a year and more, editor's NOTE] is not an abstraction. They are about 100,000 people", has qualified the director-general.
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This rise of the hires is likely to be less important than in previous years. In 2018, the employment framework has been insolent, with an 11% increase in recruitment compared to 2017. This increase is estimated to be "only" 6 % in 2019 and 4 % in 2020 and 3 % in 2021, prognostic Apec. "It has reached such a level of recruitment of executives in recent years that it is almost impossible to continue on this pace," explains Gaël Bouron, deputy head of the research unit of the Apec. "In addition, even if the market for executives is not overly sensitive to the swings in economic conditions, the economic growth that is more moderate is to be taken into account", explains the responsible. The labour market framework should also remain in tension. Many companies continue to encounter significant difficulties in recruiting profiles that suit their needs.Dynamism in the services
In detail, the recruitment expected this year, should mainly be observed in the services sector with intentions of hiring that oscillate between 196.290 and 211.080. More specifically, the areas with the greatest potential should stay of it and telecommunications, consulting and engineering in research and development. The construction should also remain dynamic.
On the other hand, the number of recruitments is expected to slow down in the retail sector, which suffers a reduction in the consumption of households and one that must be faced in the development of e-commerce. The intentions of the new hires are likely to be less dynamic on the business side of training. They must face up to a year of uncertain transition with the implementation of the professional training reform initiated by the government. Finally, the recruitment should also be less numerous in certain sectors of the industry who encounter difficulties, like the textile.
unsurprisingly, it is in the Île-de-France that the job market should, once again, to be the most dynamic. The area itself concentrates nearly half of the intentions of hiring. Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes comes in second position, closely followed by the Hauts-de-France, Provence-Alpes-Côte d'azur, as well as Occitania.
unemployment Insurance: a last attempt
Under maximum pressure, unions and employers, will meet this Wednesday, for a trading session of the last chance on the reform of the unemployment insurance. The likelihood of both the parties seal a compromise remains low. The three employers ' organisations (Medef, U2P, CPME) are planning to submit new and final proposals to tackle the excessive use of short-term and more broadly to the precariousness of employment.
proposals are always "alternatives" to the establishment of the famous " bonus-malus on the employer defended by the trade unions. According to a representative of the employers, the employers should in particular propose that companies pay a fixed charge for each short contract concluded. This package would then feed into a fund dedicated to the funding of the training, or of a complementary health of employees in a precarious situation. Not sure that this is enough to convince the unions...Updated Date: 22 February 2019, 00:00